Blue Square’s best bets
Posted on 29th October 2010
Blue Square‘s Alan Alger gives his rundown of the weekend’s best bets:
AFC Wimbledon have enjoyed an extended stay at the top of the Blue Square Bet Premier table after a break in league matches for the all important ‘magic’ of the FA Cup. The top three teams in the division all progressed to the 1st Round Proper of the famous competition and will hopefully do the non-league game proud on their respective adventures.
It’s back to league action on Saturday and the table topping Wombles welcome struggling Darlington to Kingsmeadow. The teams are separated by 15 points and 12 places which secures 4/6 favouritism for the London side.
Terry Brown’s team have a formidable home record and have only conceded four goals in eight unbeaten matches at their compact ground. Mark Cooper’s team are without a win in five league matches and have drawn the most games of any team in the league – 8 from 16. Another draw for Cooper’s side is priced at 12/5.
Crawley Town lost top spot with a home defeat against Newport County two weeks ago. Steve Evans’ team got immediate revenge in the FA Cup on Saturday when becoming the first team to win at Spytty Park in over 18 months. Crawley travel to Mansfield Town on Saturday and are priced as the 13/10 favourites to gain another three points. The home side come into the game off the back of five winless matches and have been coming up short in matches against their fellow promotion hopefuls. So far they have played five matches against teams in the top six and have no points and just two goals from those outings. The Stags are 17/10 to halt that poor run.
Luton Town will be hoping to take advantage of any slip ups. The Hatters made the most of their game in hand by casting aside Forest Green Rovers by six goals to one just over a week ago. They were 2/7 favourites for that game and are exactly the same price for another home match this weekend.
The visitors to Kenilworth Road this time are Bath City who sit one point and one place away from safety in the relegation zone. City’s defence on their travels has shipped nearly two goals per game and with Luton rampant in recent matches there could be plenty of goalmouth action for the home side. Richard Money’s team are just 5/6 to win this match by more than one goal.
Newport’s are 7/10 favourites on Saturday over Kettering Town. The Poppies are recovering from a cup defeat to arch rivals Rushden & Diamonds and couldn’t really wish for a harder game off the back of such a fiery tie. Kettering boss Marcus Law may have forgotten how to build a side up from defeat having not been on the losing side for over a year. His team are 7/2 outsiders to respond the right way.
Gary Mills has been very busy stamping his mark on his new charges York City. The former Tamworth manager was rewarded with an FA Cup win at Kidderminster last weekend. York travel to Forest Green Rovers in a battle of the divisions’ longest serving clubs. The away side are the favourites at 11/8 with second from bottom Rovers offered at 8/5.
Gateshead have been tough to beat at home and only Fleetwood have returned from the International Stadium with all three points this season. Cambridge United are the visitors on Saturday. Martin Ling’s team will no doubt attract some money at a price of 9/5 because of that, but this is a pressure game for them as they try to prove recent results were no fluke. Gateshead are the 13/10 favourites here but I’d favour another home draw for Ian Bogie’s side at 9/4.
Elsewhere Hayes & Yeading United are the odds-on favourites at 5/6 to register a home victory over bottom club Altrincham. Wrexham can put pressure on the teams above them with a win at Histon, Dean Saunders’ side are 5/4 to win their fifth game in eight matches.
Grimsby Town are odds on again at home, this time 4/6 for the visit of Eastbourne Boruigh despite failing to secure the money for punters four times from a similar position already this season. Barrow were beaten in the cup by FC United of Manchester at the weekend and look to be struggling for any glimmer of form.
They visit a sparkling Rushden & Diamonds on Saturday who have won five of their last six and are strong favourites at 1/2. Tamworth, no win in their last seven league games, host Fleetwood who are without a win in their last four in the league. The draw looks a good bet in this one at a price of 12/5.
ALAN’S WEEKEND TREBLE:
- York City (to beat Forest Green Rovers)
- Luton Town (to beat Bath City)
- Rushden & Diamonds (to beat Barrow)
A £10 treble returns £45.80 at the current Blue Square prices.
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